What playoff teams from last year won't be back this year?

[Everlong]

So last yaer in the playoffs we had:

AFC

New England
Denver
Indianapolis
Pittsburgh
Baltimore
Cincinnati

NFC

Seattle
Green Bay
Dallas
Carolina
Arizona
Detroit

Which teams do you think are LEAST LIKELY to make it back?

I think out of all these teams, Detroit has definitely lost the most and they're playing in a really tough division. Arizona made it despite having half their team injured and being on their 3rd QB, so I can see them staying strong this year. It's also hard to know what to expect in the NFC South. I have a hard time believing the Saints are as bad as their record was last year.

Meanwhile, in the AFC, I'm really looking for Denver to drop off a lot, but not so much that they're completely out of it. Either Pittsburgh or Baltimore could easily fall off the horse, but I think Pittsburgh has a better overall roster right now than Baltimore. On the other hand, Baltimore's only missed the playoffs once with Harbaugh/Flacco running the show.

[The Legend]

The AFC wild card race is finally deep enough that having Andy Dalton as their quarterback is going to cost the Bengals a playoff spot. There's no way the Steelers fall out of the playoffs. Last season 7 teams won their division with a winning record. 6 of the 7 were the highest scoring teams in their division and the Cowboys scored a grand total of 7 points less than the Eagles. With Ben/Bell/Brown/Bryant the Steelers might have the best offense in the entire NFL, they are making the playoffs. It's the wild card spots that are more up for grabs, I think all for reigning division champs hold their crowns for another year.

In the NFC, I don't think Carolina makes it back, I just don't think they have improved in all their weaknesses enough. That division is likely to be highly competitive (if not still good), and I just don't see Carolina going for the 3-peat. Dallas and Detroit could go either way. For the Cowboys, either Chip Kelly's mad scientist experiment works extremely well and the Eagles become a great team or it falls apart in a major way.