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The time has finally arrived!!! The weekly NFL picks series begins with a full slate of week one action. All 32 teams in the league playing throughout the weekend. Week one is traditionally an incredibly difficult set of games to predict, as nobody really knows what to expect from each team yet that year. Let’s see how well we do!
Use this thread to make your picks for week one and for general week one discussion. Remember to get the Thursday pick in on time, and to join us in the chat during game times!
THURSDAY NIGHT: GAME OF THE WEEK—Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks, SEA by 6 - The NFL certainly knows how to schedule a high-profile opening contest, and they don’t get much bigger than this one. Most experts have either the Seahawks or the Packers representing the NFC in the Super Bowl this year, and there’s still a lot of bad blood (between the fanbases, if not the players) for the infamous Fail Mary in 2012. Should be especially fun to watch the Packers’ offense against the Seahawks’ defense.
If there’s anybody in the NFC who can go into Seattle and win, it’s the Packers. The Packers are one of the league’s best road teams under Aaron Rodgers and have the ability to control the clock. However, this is a special situation. The Seahawks fans will be even louder than usual as they raise their championship banner, and the atmosphere will be electric. I think this one goes down to the wire, and while I really think it’s a tossup as to which one of these teams will be the final one standing in the playoffs, I give the edge to the Seahawks on opening night, due to homefield advantage and the relative unknown that is the Packers’ defense. Seahawks 28, Packers 27
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons, NO by 3 – Really hard to know what to expect out of Atlanta this year after an injury ravaged season. Everyone and their mothers is picking the Saints to win the division, but starting off the season on the road against their bitter rivals is a tall task. You never know what’s going to happen in week one, so I’m willing to call an upset here. UPSET! – Falcons 24, Saints 20
Minnesota Vikings at St. Louis Rams, STL by 4 – The Rams are without Sam Bradford for the whole season, but I doubt that’ll really do that much to limit their potential. This is a team with a solid defense and a ton of question marks on offense. On paper, I think the Rams are the better team. But the Vikings tend to start the season fast and then begin their collapse, and I’d not be surprised if that’s the case yet again in 2014. UPSET! – Vikings 28, Rams 17
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers, PIT by 6.5 – The Browns’ season will really depend on the ability of Brian Hoyer to make plays despite a depleted receiving corps. We know the Browns are capable of playing solid defense. The offense needs to be able to keep up. Right now, I have much more faith in Pittsburgh being able to put out a total team effort. Steelers 27, Browns 16
Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles, PHI by 10 – The Eagles score fast and score often, and against a Jaguars team that is still in rebuilding mode (althoughs lowly but surely pulling itself up by its bootstraps), I think the offense will star. Eagles 33, Jaguars 13
Oakland Raiders at New York Jets, NYJ by 5 – I think the Raiders are going to surprise a lot of people this year. Reggie McKenzie has gotten rid of a lot of big veteran contracts, and they played most of last year having gotten rid of tons of old faces. Now that he’s starting to be able to mold the team the way he wants, I think we’ll start to see the Raiders rise back up. I’m going for them to win this one. UPSET! – Raiders 20, Jets 17
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens, BAL by 1.5 – Both of these teams have the potential to either be great or a total flop. However, the Bengals have the more talented roster and the league’s second best receiver to go up and catch passes. I’ll take them on the road. UPSET! – Bengals 31, Ravens 26
Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears, CHI by 6.5 – Despite my clear bias, I think the Bears are a playoff team this year, and they’ll start the season off with a convincing win and a one game lead over the Packers. Bears 35, Bills 17
Washington Redskins at Houston Texans, HOU by 2.5 – I’m not particularly sure what the oddsmakers see in Houston here other than home field advantage, but I like the Redskins to outscore the Texans on the road, despite the potential for JJ Watt and Jadeveon Clowney to have a field day in the backfield. UPSET! – Redskins 28, Texans 20
Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs, KC by 4 – The Titans are a bit of an unknown at this point, and the Chiefs remain a team with a steady offense and a dynamic defense. I like Kansas City to get their season started off on the right note. Chiefs 23, Titans 10
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins, NE by 4.5 – I like what the Dolphins are building, but come on, this is the Patriots. As long as Tom Brady and Bill Belichick remain, this team is guaranteed the division title every year. Patriots 34, Dolphins 16
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, TB by 1 – Anything can happen in the NFC South, especially considering the Panthers have basically nothing in the way of receiving threats. With Lovie Smith coaching up that Bucs D, expect them to be much more solid in the recent past. I think the Panthers will have a slow start to the season before they figure themselves out. Buccaneers 24, Panthers 21
San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys, SF by 5 – Do the 49ers even have enough people that aren’t behind bars to field a complete team? No matter. This Dallas defense is TURRBLE, and no amount of Tony Romo gunslinging can get them past the better teams in the NFC. 49ers 27, Cowboys 24
Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos, DEN by 7.5 – Peyton Manning can start the season off right by slaying his former team from the comfort of Mile High Stadium. Broncos 40, Colts 28
New York Giants at Detroit Lions, DET by 5 – Really hard to know what to expect out of the Giants this year. Will Eli Manning be the same turnover prone QB as he was a year ago, or return to pro bowl form? Will that defense return to Super Bowl season levels, or be a sieve once again? Then there’s the Lions, who have mastered the art of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. I like the Lions at home, but this one could really go either way. Lions 31, Giants 24
San Diego Chargers at Arizona Cardinals, ARZ by 3 – I like the Cardinals and their potential, but the Chargers are a dark horse Super Bowl candidate, in my estimation. UPSET! – Chargers 27, Cardinals 20